Episode Overview
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Daniel Marino
Welcome to value-based peer insights. I am your host, Daniel Marino. I have a very special topic today, one that I've been tracking for quite some time, and that's a review of the 2023 performance year for the ACOs. Many of us obviously have been involved in the MSSP ACOs for quite some time, and really the ACO reach. And just a couple of weeks ago, maybe a month ago or so, the performance activities were released on the ACOs, and it was quite exciting to see as we dove into it and looked at a lot of the outcomes. There was about 3.1 billion dollars in savings from all the participating ACOs really exciting to see that the ACOs are making stride in really reducing the total cost of care. And I believe this is the largest milestone that CMS has realized since the inception of the program. So, as I was doing a lot of my research. I came across a wonderful post on LinkedIn that summarized a lot of the ACO activities.
Well, I am really excited today to have as my guest Sarah Kachur, who is with Johns Hopkins health system and supports the health plan. Sarah is a pharmacist by background, has worked in the population health value-based care space for many, many years and is in charge of the analytics works with the ACG risk adjustment tool and just has a wealth of experience with ACOs. So welcome Sarah, to the program.
Sarah Kachur:
Dan, thank you for having me. This is a really exciting year for ACOs, and it was so inspiring to see the progress of all the ACOs in 2023, and many of them have continued that momentum into 2024.
Daniel Marino:
Yes.
Sarah Kachur:
Friendly topic, and thanks for having me.
Daniel Marino:
Thank you. Well, thanks for coming on. This has been. This has been great, and I agree with you. It was kind of nice to see. So, as you were, as you were looking at the outcomes as you were looking at some of the results to see CMS, you know, produce what were some key things that that you identified, or some conclusions that you saw from, you know, from the ACO performance?
Sarah Kachur:
Well, the top line for me was that 73% of the ACO Reach participants achieved savings, and I think we saw a similar rate within the MSSP ACOs. So if we think back into 2022, what we were asking at that time of these ACOs was, were they going to continue with the MSSP Model? Were they going to take on more risk? Were they going to migrate into the new Reach model? How would changes in performance and quality measures and benchmark impact that decision? And a lot of these ACOs have made enormous investments financially, staffing, expertise processes, analytics. And it was a risk for them, particularly for the smaller groups. So it's really heartening to see that the majority of them are achieving shared savings. And I think it's a mandate for continuation of the program and validate some of those investments that they made 2 years ago.
Daniel Marino:
Yeah, I agree with you. I think you know. There we were at a crossroad 2 years ago. I know we had worked with many organizations where they were evaluating where they go. And really did they want to continue? Especially with all the investments that was required? So when you look at, kind of dive into that, that 73% of the earned savings. Talk a little bit about where you see some of the savings coming from. How did it start to bend the cost curve? If you will. Were there a couple of key things that came to mind, chronic diseases, maybe. How we handle the risk, pop you, you know, maybe the rising risk or the high risk population. What were some of the conclusions you saw?
Sarah Kachur:
Well, that's a really good point, Dan. And you know, I'll say it's interesting the data that we get for these Reach ACOs. Tells us a lot about their cost and their benchmark information. And then we get about 10 quality scores. So unlike the MSSP Program, we don't really get detailed drivers of cost at the ACO level. So some of what I'll say is kind of an extrapolation from the MSSP. Program, and some is based on our work with our customers across the country. I think the ACOs have driven by the cost of care and the readmissions measure they have really laser focused on high utilizers. Patients who are frail, those who have multiple complex conditions and are really at high risk for hospitalization. And if hospitalized readmission. We've seen some success as well in reducing length of stay. How can we get patients out of the hospital earlier? And once they're out of the hospital. How can we support them at home? DME, transitions of care medication management. So we're seeing good results in many of the ACOs in terms of their unplanned readmissions, and also in the unplanned admission measures.
Daniel Marino:
Yeah, I would agree with that. And especially, I think, a lot of ACOs have focused on their readmissions that that was so when you when you think back into 2022, and even before some of the you know, the high condition costs, such as you know, sepsis management and COPD, and so forth, contributed a lot to readmissions, and I think there has been a big, a big focus on that. But you know I always kind of turned to what were some of the things that these ACOs did? What were some of the programs that they put in place? I can't help but think that maybe the strong transitions of care programs that they put in place made a difference.
Sarah Kachur:
I think so, too, Dan. And I think we're getting into a landscape where those timely and focused transitions of care programs are table stakes for ACO success. They need to pick up the admit as best they can, either from their local hospital partnerships or in many states we have HIE, admit, discharge, and transfer feeds and they need to even think about the discharge before the discharge happens. As soon as the patient is admitted. There. We yeah, it can be really effective to focus on high risk of readmissions, medication management and social determinants of health.
Daniel Marino:
Yeah, I agree with you and created more of a connected community. So when you look at some of the ACOs, the larger ACOs that have been successful created a connected community of providers that allow for that transition, that handoff and they monitor it right. They put in place the programs, as you said, medication management programs. But they're transitioning that to their connected care of providers. And I think, as you start to look at the high performing ACOs versus the mid, or even the low performing ACOs. I think a big difference is how they create that connected care network.
Sarah Kachur:
You're absolutely right. And that post discharge visit from the patient's own PCP. Very quickly after discharge is a critical component. There are so many gaps in these complex patients. They need a walker. They need DME. They need Meds. Family and caregivers are often struggling, but somebody who's come home from the hospital and needs a lot of help. So I think that outreach is really important within a connected PCP relationship.
Daniel Marino:
Yeah, I agree. Let's try to focus a little bit on the risk adjustment measures. You know, there has been some evolution of how CMS EMI is calculating the risk adjustment ratios and evaluating, and the elements that go into identifying the risk scores the risk attribution of some of the population. In your opinion, in looking at the data and the performance outcome, how has that affected the ACO's ability to perform? And in particular how is it impacted the outcomes within this last performance?
Sarah Kachur:
The end risk adjustment is critical for the ACOs, as we all know, and has been since the inception of the program. The big change that we saw in 2023 and migrating now into 2024. Is that in the future we're seeing more and more roll in of the HCC version 28, migrating off of version 24 and into 28. So that'll be in more effect in 2024, and it'll be a hundred percent in effect as we migrate into 2025. So this will have a significant impact on the ACOs, they need to code correctly. But what we're seeing is that the HCC captures will begin to Max out over the coming years, and the ACOs are going to have to really start doing the hard work of how do we manage utilization? How do we touch patients who are impactable? How do we manage site of care and episodes of care and patients who are on that rising risk spectrum that you mentioned earlier.
Daniel Marino:
Yeah. And that's a, you know, that's a great point. We're we've done a lot of work helping ACOs helping organizations improve their HCC code capture right? And you know, the benchmark we use right now. I think the industry benchmark I last saw was, you know, nationally about, you know, say, 85% or so in terms of the ratio of code captures kind of the best practice benchmark. Some organizations are still below that, but they're rising right? So it is going to get to the point where I think we were going to max out on being able to capture that. And we're going to do a better job of identifying these patients with the risk level based on the coding. But that hard work is going to come into play right? Because now that we've identified the appropriate risk score, if you will of the population, you have to put in place the additional programs to really manage through and manage within that risk activity, and then perform around it.
Sarah Kachur:
You're absolutely right. We have to maintain performance on risk. That'll be a table stakes. And we have to maintain performance on our quality measures and readmissions. Those are also becoming table stakes. And what will we do in 25, and 26 to keep moving forward as things that were new in 2023 are now table stakes in 2025.
Daniel Marino:
If you're just joining us. I'm joined today by Sarah Kachur from Johns Hopkins. She's leads the population analytics team there, and we're having a fascinating discussion on the performance year 2023 of the ACOs that was recently released. Sarah, building on one of the areas that you mentioned briefly. As we think about utilization, and as we think about providing the right level of care to the right type patient, that is timely right? And really moving into more proactive care versus reactive care. How much is the, when you look at these performance outcomes, how much does utilization management? How much did it come into play within these outcomes?
Sarah Kachur:
Dan. It was an enormous driver of these outcomes. When we look specifically at the ACO Reach program, the 2 utilization driven measures, unplanned readmits and unplanned admits are very hospital focused. So it's important to keep patients out of the hospital. ACOs were very focused on that, and as we know, a hospital stay is a significant expenditure both for the patient and for the ACO. So the quality metrics that we have today are very inpatient focused. And I think what we'll see in the coming years is a little bit additional focus on those patients who don't go to the hospital. And, in fact, nationally, as you've mentioned before, are many, many procedures are no longer even requiring an inpatient stay. So we have to start focusing on those outpatient and ASC procedures as inpatient, becomes less and less common.
Daniel Marino:
Yeah, I agree with you, and I'll tell you it is definitely a paradigm shift, right? For many of the hospitals to think about that, because you know, is, I'm talking to CFOs around the country hospitals. They're still very fee for service driven. Vast majority of the reimbursement is still fee for service. Yet if you're going to continue to shift and be successful in value-based care. And in particular, the ACO programs, even Medicare advantage. If you will, you have to. You have to change that paradigm you really do have to think about where should the appropriate pair take place versus maximizing care in just the hospital, because that's the way we've always done it.
Sarah Kachur:
You're absolutely right, Dan, and I'll mention 2 findings from the MSSP Program that I think are related one is that PCP Led ACOs perform better than ACOs that are led by hospitals and health systems. And we can understand from your comments, hospitals, and health systems. There's a a little bit of challenge in that. We want to have our beds filled. We want to have our emergency room well staffed and filled. But many patients, particularly those in the ACO programs that are at risk of an admission or a readmission. If they go to the emergency room, they're sick enough that they'll be admitted. So it's a challenge for health systems and hospitals to think about. How do we keep patients out of the hospital by keeping them out of the emergency room by keeping them well at home? And we might have some empty beds. And how are we going to account for that financially?
Daniel Marino:
Well, and I think that's always the challenge, right as you're starting to invest in and kind of the bricks and mortar, you know, I guess? Answer, asking the question, do we? Do we really need that going forward. You know, when we look at the performance outcomes a lot of it is obviously around trying to bend the cost curve. A lot of it is around managing utilization. A lot of it is around managing the risk cohorts of that population. But an element that is also very important is the quality, right? The quality of care that we're delivering to these patients. How have you seen the quality measurement, the quality outcomes in the 2023 ACOs? how was that changed? Or how is that presented differently within this last performance year versus prior performance years?
Sarah Kachur:
Well, that's a good point, Dan. And these quality outcomes are very important. One thing that we note if we look at the ACO Reach program compared to MSSP is the quality measure reporting group is very broad for MSSP. We migrate, you know, from healthy well patients getting cancer screening all the way into these readmission and admission measures that are relevant to the sickest and most risky of our population. We don't have that depth of measures for the ACO Reach participants. And I think that that makes sense to reduce reporting burden. But unfortunately, we don't get as strong of a lens for these participants into how they perform on things like cancer screening. So analytically, it's very hard to know. However, I can say from our work across the country that these groups are doing a great job. They're very focused on PCP access, high quality specialist high quality specialist access and connecting care across the ecosystem. So on the ground. I think they're doing a great job. And we don't always get to see all of that in the data.
Daniel Marino:
Yeah, I agree with you. I you know. And I'm glad you brought that up, because I've seen the same thing. You know, especially with the higher performing ACOs. You can't just focus on utilization management or costs. You have to focus on quality as a driver of cost management. And I agree with you. I've seen that I think it is tough to report. Sometimes it's tough to see that in all of the data. But I think when we dove into it as well with some of the ACOs across the country. We certainly have seen that. So turning our attention to 2025. What are some of the things that you see potentially could be either lessons learned as we move into 2025, or maybe areas of focus that some of the either the hospital based ACOs or the PCP focus. PC, ACOs, what should they be focusing on as we move into the New Year?
Sarah Kachur:
Sure. So I'll well, there's a lot to focus on, and I know they're very busy. 2 things that I like to focus on when I speak to our leadership or to our ACO partners that, I think are sometimes easily overlooked. So I'll mention those one is the part B drug cost and the other is social determinants and health equity. Part B drugs are hitting the bottom line of every single ACO in the country. It's very hard to get at that data, and some of these products are extraordinarily costly.
Daniel Marino:
Yes.
Sarah Kachur:
The price of these products is also increasing 8, 10, 13% a year. So if we think about cancer infusions, other biologics, rare drugs. It's often possible for these part B drug costs to eat into hospital and outpatient physician savings that would otherwise drive great ACO performance. So I would.
Daniel Marino:
Oh, I couldn't agree with you more. And I'll tell you something. One of the things that I'm thinking about for a future episode is just having conversations on how to manage some of the part B drugs, because the you know, variation in the PBMs variation just in the drug costs and support of where we want to go, I mean in itself, is it? I mean, that's a huge, variable.
Sarah Kachur:
Absolutely, and it's very non-transparent to the prescriber.
Daniel Marino:
Very much.
Sarah Kachur:
And often handled by a specialist who may or may not be aware of the cost, either on the part B or the outpatient pharmacy side.
Daniel Marino:
Yeah, yeah, I agree. So what about the what about social equity or social determinants and health equity? I mean, obviously, that's going to be a big focus correct.
Sarah Kachur:
Absolutely, it's a reporting focus. So in 2024, which we're just finishing ACO Reach, participants were required to report demographic data. And for the 1st time social determinants data on their population. Both of those are captured by surveys. In 2025. For the 1st time we can see a potential negative adjustment to the benchmark for inadequately capturing patient race and patient spoken language. So you know, as a provider office, you're thinking, oh, of course I know my patient's race, but if you're not capturing it in the format that CMS. Wants it and reporting it to CMS. In their format, you could see a negative impact to the benchmark. But more important than that regulatory factor is that in every ACO in the country high need zip codes and geographies are driving suboptimal outcomes. Patients can't afford their meds. They can't get to appointments. They need support. They're getting readmitted. They don't have access to specialists, like you know, higher income or less deprived geographies do. Patients in high ADI areas are driving suboptimal outcomes in every single population that I've looked at. And until we can get at that data and give those patients some extra supports we're not going to be able to bend that curve.
Daniel Marino:
Yeah, I agree with you, and I think you know. So as difficult as it is as it is for some of the ECPs in particular to capture that information. It's critical. It's critical to really driving care to where it's needed. And I also believe, and I've had many conversations with many leaders in community health systems or community health centers. It's going to be important for us to change that care model around what we identify as challenges to health equity. I think that's really the only way that we're going to be able to move forward. Well, Sarah, I want to thank you. This has been a fascinating discussion. This is an area that you know is I'm passionate about and I really want to thank you for inspiring us and sharing some of your wisdom and your outcomes. As you, as you begin to look at the results of the ACO. How could some of our, I'm sure some of our listeners would love to connect with you would love to maybe even contact you. Can you share any of your contact information.
Sarah Kachur:
Sure, Dan, happy to speak to your listeners. I'm on LinkedIn at Sarah Kachur, K-A-C-H-U-R. And also my email is skacher2@jh.edu.
Daniel Marino:
Great. Well, and again, I want to I want to thank you and would love to have you back to kind of dive into, you know maybe a few more of these outcomes related to some of the programs or the interventions, or something in that regard. I think it's so critical to the both current and future performance of the ACOs.
Sarah Kachur:
Well, thanks, Dan. I enjoyed our time today, and we'll have to get together next year and see if these predictions came true.
Daniel Marino:
Absolutely. I agree. Well, thank you again, and thank you to our listeners for tuning in. Until the next insight, I am Daniel Marino providing you 30 min of value to your day. Take care.